Public archive

Graded picks history.

Every pick shows date, sport, market, line, confidence, result, units, and notes so the record stays clear.

Total picks
30
Win rate
67.9%
Avg confidence
62%
Total units
+8.28u
DateSportMatchupPickLine / OddsConfidenceResultUnitsNotes
May 16, 2025MLBLAD vs NYM
Dodgers -1.5
Spread
-1.5 / -125
68%
WIN+1.25uBullpen edge and starter split advantage.
May 16, 2025NBABOS vs MIA
Celtics -5.5
Spread
-5.5 / -110
64%
WIN+1.10uHalf-court efficiency and rest edge.
May 16, 2025NHLDAL vs COL
Stars ML
ML
+102 / +102
63%
WIN+1.02uGoalie confirmation and special teams.
May 15, 2025NFLKC vs SEA
Chiefs -3.5
Spread
-3.5 / -115
66%
LOSS-1.00uLate turnover variance hurt closing position.
May 15, 2025MLBHOU vs TEX
Astros ML
ML
+105 / +105
61%
WIN+1.05uLineup value and bullpen leverage.
May 14, 2025NBAMIN vs DEN
DEN -2.5
Spread
-2.5 / -108
57%
LOSS-1.08uModel lean missed late shot quality.
May 14, 2025NHLFLA vs TOR
Over 6
Total
6 / -120
58%
WIN+0.83uShot volume outpaced goalie market.
May 13, 2025MLBNYY vs TB
Yankees -1.5
Spread
-1.5 / -130
66%
WIN+1.15uStarter edge held through close.
May 13, 2025NBAOKC vs DAL
Over 224.5
Total
224.5 / -110
55%
LOSS-1.10uPace projection slowed after halftime.
May 12, 2025MLBATL vs PHI
Braves ML
ML
PK / +115
60%
LOSS-1.00uBullpen fatigue was priced correctly.
May 12, 2025NHLNYR vs CAR
Rangers ML
ML
+118 / +118
62%
WIN+1.18uGoalie edge and power play form.
May 11, 2025NBALAL vs GSW
Curry over 4.5 3PM
Prop
4.5 / -105
59%
WIN+0.95uUsage bump and defensive scheme.
May 11, 2025MLBSD vs ARI
Under 8.5
Total
8.5 / -112
65%
PUSH0.00uPark factors matched number exactly.
May 10, 2025NFLBUF vs NYJ
Bills -4
Spread
-4 / -110
67%
WIN+0.91uPressure rate and rest edge.
May 10, 2025MLBSEA vs OAK
Mariners ML
ML
-142 / -142
69%
WIN+0.70uStarter projection above market.
May 9, 2025NBAPHI vs NYK
Under 211.5
Total
211.5 / -110
63%
LOSS-1.10uFree throw rate broke pace model.
May 9, 2025NHLEDM vs VAN
EDM ML
ML
-150 / -150
64%
WIN+0.67uShot quality and top-line matchup.
May 8, 2025MLBCHC vs STL
Over 7.5
Total
7.5 / -115
61%
WIN+0.87uWind and bullpen availability.
May 8, 2025NBAPHX vs DEN
DEN -6.5
Spread
-6.5 / -108
62%
WIN+0.93uHome efficiency and rest spot.
May 7, 2025NHLBOS vs TB
Under 6
Total
6 / -118
60%
LOSS-1.18uEarly penalties changed tempo.
May 7, 2025MLBTOR vs BAL
TOR -1.5
Spread
-1.5 / +130
57%
WIN+1.30uRighty split and bullpen gap.
May 6, 2025NFLDET vs GB
Over 47.5
Total
47.5 / -110
58%
PUSH0.00uClosing number landed on total.
May 6, 2025NBAMIL vs IND
Pacers +3
Spread
+3 / -110
62%
WIN+0.91uPace edge and bench depth.
May 5, 2025MLBSF vs LAD
LAD ML
ML
-162 / -162
70%
WIN+0.62uProjected starter and lineup edge.
May 5, 2025NHLNSH vs WPG
WPG -1.5
Spread
-1.5 / +145
56%
LOSS-1.00uEmpty-net setup did not arrive.
May 4, 2025NBACLE vs ORL
Cavaliers ML
ML
-135 / -135
65%
WIN+0.74uHalf-court defense edge.
May 4, 2025MLBMIL vs CIN
Under 9
Total
9 / -110
59%
WIN+0.91uWeather and bullpen usage aligned.
May 3, 2025NFLMIA vs NE
MIA -2.5
Spread
-2.5 / -115
63%
LOSS-1.15uRed-zone variance against model.
May 3, 2025NHLLA vs VGK
VGK ML
ML
-125 / -125
61%
WIN+0.80uHome shot suppression edge.
May 2, 2025MLBDET vs CLE
CLE -1.5
Spread
-1.5 / +125
58%
LOSS-1.00uStarter edge faded after lineup news.
Showing 30 of 30 picksLast updated: May 16, 2025, 12:45 PM ET

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